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The PMI Group, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2007 Financial Results


WALNUT CREEK, Calif., Oct. 30 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- The PMI Group, Inc. (NYSE: PMI) (the "Company") today reported a net loss for the third quarter of 2007 of $86.8 million, or $1.04 per basic and diluted(1) share. Net income for the third quarter of 2006 was $104.2 million, or $1.16 per diluted share. The net loss for the third quarter of 2007 was primarily due to $348.3 million in paid claims, loss adjustment expenses and additions to the reserve for losses (collectively "Losses and LAE") in the U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations, and FGIC's negative mark-to-market adjustments on its insured credit derivative portfolio in the Company's Financial Guaranty segment.

    Highlights include:
    -- U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations(2) -- The net loss was $65.2 million
       in the third quarter of 2007. During the third quarter, the Company
       added $253.6 million to the reserves for losses and loss adjustment
       expenses (LAE) and paid $92.6 million in claims.  Total revenues in the
       third quarter increased by approximately 20% compared to the third
       quarter of 2006, driven by strong growth in net premiums written and
       earned.  Insurance in force at the end of the third quarter of 2007 was
       $120.0 billion, representing a 20% increase from one year ago.
    -- International Operations(3) -- PMI Australia posted net income of $19.7
       million on higher premiums earned and net investment income, partially
       offset by higher losses and LAE.  PMI Australia reported solid growth
       year over year in net premiums written and grew its insurance in force
       to $182.8 billion.  Total losses and LAE increased in the third quarter
       of 2007 to $21.8 million due primarily to higher claim rates.  PMI
       Europe reported a net loss of $8.4 million, primarily as a result of an
       unrealized $8.4 million, after tax, negative mark-to-market adjustment
       on credit default swaps related to European prime mortgage risks due to
       widening credit spreads. PMI Europe's net premiums written increased
       approximately 50% compared with the third quarter of 2006 driven
       particularly by flow business in Italy.  PMI Asia reported net income
       of $2.9 million fueled by strong growth in reinsurance premiums written
       and earned compared to the third quarter 2006.
    -- Financial Guaranty(4) -- equity in losses from FGIC for the third
       quarter of 2007 were $28.9 million (pre-tax), as a result of a negative
       unrealized mark-to-market adjustment in its insured credit derivative
       portfolio due to widening credit spreads partially offset by strong
       premium earnings and increased net investment income.
    -- Capital Events -- The Company repurchased 5,454,381 common shares for
       approximately $178 million in the third quarter of 2007.

Consolidated Operating Results

Consolidated net premiums written for the third quarter and year to date totaled $276.7 million and $776.8 million, respectively, compared with $212.4 million and $626.1 million for the same periods one year ago. The year over year increases were primarily due to increases in insurance in force from new insurance written, and higher average insured loan balances in the U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations and an increase in International Operations' net premiums written combined with favorable Australian foreign exchange rates.

Consolidated premiums earned for the third quarter and year to date were $256.8 million and $735.5 million, respectively, compared with $214.9 million and $634.8 million for the same periods one year ago. The increases were due primarily to insurance in force growth, new insurance written, improved persistency and larger loan sizes in the U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations.

Consolidated losses and LAE for the third quarter and year to date were $372.8 million and $628.3 million, respectively, compared with $79.6 million and $212.4 million for the same periods last year. The increases were primarily a result of higher losses and LAE in the U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations as a result of an increase in notices of default, increased claim rates and larger claim sizes.

Consolidated reserve for losses and LAE totaled $770.4 million as of September 30, 2007 compared with $507.0 million as of June 30, 2007 and $394.2 million as of September 30, 2006. Reserves for losses and LAE in the U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations increased $253.6 million in the third quarter of 2007 primarily due to an increase in notices of default, increased claim rates and larger claim sizes. PMI Australia's reserve for losses and LAE increased $7.3 million in the third quarter of 2007 principally due to higher claim rates and claim sizes.

Consolidated other underwriting and operating expenses for the third quarter and year to date were $50.6 million and $173.1 million, respectively, compared with $55.9 million and $169.0 million for the same periods one year ago. The decrease in the third quarter of 2007 was primarily the result of lower employee compensation expenses compared to the corresponding period in 2006. The increase in the first nine months of 2007 compared to the corresponding period in 2006 was primarily due to growth in our International Operations and lower share-based compensation expenses in 2006.


             The PMI Group, Inc. Third Quarter Results by Segment
                               Third Quarter            Third Quarter Net
                               Total Revenues             (Loss) Income
    (Dollars in millions,
     except per share data) 2007    2006  % Change    2007    2006    % Change
    U.S. Mortgage Insurance
     Operations            $241.5  $201.8   19.7%   $(65.2)   $70.8   (192.1)%
    International
     Operations              65.2    68.6   (5.0)%    13.9     29.4    (52.7)%
    Financial Guaranty(6)   (24.3)   26.5 (191.7)%   (24.4)    23.7   (203.0)%
    Corporate and Other(5)    4.6     4.0    n.m.    (11.0)   (19.8)     n.m.
    Consolidated Total     $287.0  $300.9   (4.6)%  $(86.8)  $104.2   (183.3)%
    Diluted Net (Loss)
     Income Per Share(1)                            $(1.04)   $1.16   (189.7)%
    Book Value Per Share                            $43.96   $39.14      12.3%

    May not total due to rounding.
    n.m. - Not meaningful.


             The PMI Group, Inc. Year to Date Results by Segment
                            Nine Months Ended      Nine Months Ended
                              September 30            September 30
                             Total Revenues         Net (Loss) Income
    (Dollars in millions,
     except per share data) 2007    2006  % Change    2007    2006    % Change
    U.S. Mortgage Insurance
     Operations            $697.7  $600.7   16.1%    $45.2   $213.1    (78.8)%
    International
     Operations             197.0   187.1    5.3%     65.1     83.5    (22.0)%
    Financial Guaranty       43.6    76.3  (42.9)%    34.5     68.8    (49.9)%
    Corporate and Other(5)   15.1    24.2    n.m.    (45.7)   (46.3)     n.m.
    Consolidated Total     $953.3  $888.2    7.3%    $99.1   $319.2    (69.0)%
    Diluted Net Income
     Per Share                                       $1.14    $3.38    (66.3)%

    May not total due to rounding.
    n.m. - Not meaningful.


    Segment Highlights
    U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations
    -- The net loss totaled $65.2 million for the third quarter of 2007
       compared with net income of $70.8 million in the third quarter of 2006.
       The net loss in the third quarter was due primarily to higher losses
       and LAE partially offset by higher premiums earned and net investment
       income.
    -- Net premiums written in the third quarter of 2007 increased by 33.6% to
       $214.4 million from $160.5 million in the third quarter of 2006.  The
       increase was due primarily to increases in insurance in force driven by
       new insurance written.
    -- The primary persistency rate increased to 73.3% in the third quarter of
       2007 compared with 67.3% in the third quarter of 2006.
    -- Total losses and LAE in the third quarter of 2007 were $348.3 million
       compared with $67.7 million in the third quarter of 2006 driven by an
       increase in notices of default, increased claim rates and larger claim
       sizes.
    -- Total claims paid increased to $92.6 million for the third quarter of
       2007 compared with $62.0 million in the third quarter of 2006 driven by
       an increase in the claim rates and larger average claim sizes.
    -- After tax equity in earnings from CMG MI for the third quarter of 2007
       was $2.7 million, compared with $3.3 million for the same period of
       2006.  The decline in equity in earnings was primarily driven by higher
       incurred losses partially offset by higher premiums earned.  CMG MI's
       insurance in force grew to $18.3 billion, persistency increased to
       80.7% and the primary default rate was 1.23%.


    International Operations
    -- PMI Australia reported net income of $19.7 million for the third
       quarter of 2007 compared with net income of $24.7 million for the third
       quarter of 2006.  The decrease in net income was due primarily to
       higher losses and LAE and other underwriting and operating expenses
       partially offset by increased premiums earned and net investment
       income.   The third quarter of 2007 addition to reserves for losses and
       LAE was $7.3 million while claims paid for the quarter totaled $16.8
       million.
    -- PMI Europe reported a net loss of $8.4 million in the third quarter of
       2007 compared with net income of $2.0 million for the same period a
       year ago.  The decrease was due primarily to an unrealized $8.4 million
       (after tax) negative mark-to-market adjustment on credit default swaps
       related to European, prime mortgage risks due to widening credit
       spreads and to a lesser extent higher expenses and loss adjustment
       expenses.
    -- PMI Asia's net income in the third quarter of 2007 totaled $2.9 million
       compared with $2.7 million for the same period a year ago.


    Financial Guaranty
    -- After tax equity in losses from FGIC for the third quarter of 2007
       totaled $27.0 million compared with after tax equity in earnings of
       $21.9 million for the same period a year ago. The loss in the third
       quarter of 2007 was primarily due to a negative unrealized mark-to-
       market adjustment in its insured credit derivative portfolio due to
       widening credit spreads partially offset by strong premium earnings and
       increased net investment income.
    -- After tax equity in earnings from RAM Re for the third quarter of 2007
       was $1.4 million compared with $1.9 million for the same period one
       year ago.
    -- PMI Guaranty, which began operations in the fourth quarter of 2006,
       reported net income of $1.2 million in the third quarter of 2007.


    Corporate and Other
    -- The Corporate and Other segment reported a net loss of $11.0 million
       for the third quarter of 2007 compared with a net loss of $19.8 million
       for the same period a year ago.  The decrease in the net loss for the
       third quarter of 2007 compared with the third quarter of 2006 was due
       to lower other underwriting and operating expenses and interest
       expense.


    Supplemental Financial Information
    -- The PMI Group, Inc.'s Third Quarter 2007 Financial Supplement can be
       found at www.pmigroup.com under Investor Relations.

About The PMI Group, Inc.

The PMI Group, Inc. (NYSE: PMI), headquartered in Walnut Creek, CA, is an international provider of credit enhancement products that promote homeownership and facilitate mortgage transactions in the capital markets. Through its wholly owned subsidiaries and unconsolidated strategic investments, the company offers residential mortgage insurance and credit enhancement products domestically and internationally, financial guaranty insurance, and financial guaranty reinsurance. Through its subsidiaries, The PMI Group, Inc. is one of the world's largest providers of private mortgage insurance with operations in the United States, Australia and New Zealand, Canada and the European Union, as well as one of the largest providers of mortgage guaranty reinsurance in Hong Kong. For more information: www.pmigroup.com.

Cautionary Statement: Statements in this earnings release that are not historical facts, and that relate to future plans, events or performance are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements by their nature involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Many factors could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties that could affect the Company are discussed in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 and Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2007 and include changes in economic conditions such as interest rates, home values, employment rates and refinance activity. We undertake no obligation to update forward-looking statements.

    (1) Due to the net loss in this quarter, normally dilutive components of
        shares outstanding such as stock options were not included in fully
        diluted shares outstanding as their inclusion would have been anti-
        dilutive.
    (2) "U.S. Mortgage Insurance Operations" includes the results of PMI
        Mortgage Insurance Co. (PMI), affiliated U.S. reinsurance companies
        and equity in earnings from CMG Mortgage Insurance Company (CMG MI).
    (3) "International Operations" includes the results of PMI Australia, PMI
        Europe, PMI Asia and PMI Canada.
    (4) "Financial Guaranty" includes PMI Guaranty Co. (PMI Guaranty) and our
        equity investments in Financial Guaranty Insurance Company, Inc.
        (FGIC) and Ram Reinsurance Company Ltd. (RAM Re).
    (5) The "Corporate and Other" segment primarily consists of the holding
        company, contract underwriting operations and intercompany
        eliminations.
    (6) Revenues for the Financial Guaranty segment were negative due to the
        equity in loss from FGIC in the third quarter of 2007 of $28.9
        million.


                     THE PMI GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                    CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

                            Three Months Ended       Nine Months Ended
                               September 30,            September 30,
                            2007          2006       2007          2006
                               (Unaudited)              (Unaudited)
                                  (Dollars and shares, except per
                                    share data, in thousands)

    Net premiums written  $276,723      $212,426   $776,751      $626,145
    Revenues
     Premiums earned      $256,834      $214,903   $735,532      $634,787
     Net (loss) income
      from credit default
      swaps                 (8,371)          978     (4,964)        4,744
     Net investment income  55,408        49,680    159,166       145,561
     Equity in (losses)
      earnings from
      unconsolidated
      subsidiaries         (22,602)       31,491     49,655        91,404
     Net realized
      investment gains         394           726      2,386         1,621
     Other income            5,307         3,142     11,561        10,099
      Total revenues       286,970       300,920    953,336       888,216
    Losses and expenses
     Losses and loss
      adjustment expenses  372,844        79,603    628,324       212,403
     Amortization of
      deferred policy
      acquisition costs     18,022        16,935     51,477        52,063
     Other underwriting
      and operating
      expenses              50,585        55,949    173,059       168,994
     Interest expense        8,358         9,486     25,015        25,732
      Total losses and
       expenses            449,809       161,973    877,875       459,192
    (Loss) income before
     income taxes         (162,839)      138,947     75,461       429,024
    Income tax (benefit)
     expense               (76,066)       34,709    (23,632)      109,823
    Net (loss) income     $(86,773)     $104,238    $99,093      $319,201
    Diluted net (loss)
     income per share       $(1.04)        $1.16      $1.14         $3.38


                     THE PMI GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                         CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

                                September 30,    December 31,  September 30,
                                     2007           2006           2006
                                 (Unaudited)      (Audited)    (Unaudited)
                                        (Dollars and shares, except
                                        per share data, in thousands)
    Assets
     Investments                  $3,833,440     $3,292,933     $3,356,255
     Cash and cash equivalents       233,256        457,207        693,250
     Investments in unconsolidated
      subsidiaries                 1,126,781      1,100,387      1,062,897
     Property, equipment and
      software, net of accumulated
      depreciation and
      amortization                   166,295        174,128        177,538
     Other assets                    385,587        302,535        294,644
      Total assets                $5,745,359     $5,327,190     $5,584,584
    Liabilities
     Reserve for losses and loss
      adjustment expenses           $770,386       $414,736       $394,210
     Unearned premiums               612,889        520,264        489,838
     Debt                            496,593        496,593      1,264,435
     Other liabilities               299,781        327,007        327,949
      Total liabilities            2,179,649      1,758,600      2,476,432
    Shareholders' equity           3,565,710      3,568,590      3,108,152
      Total liabilities and
       shareholders' equity       $5,745,359     $5,327,190     $5,584,584

    Basic shares issued and
     outstanding                      81,120         86,747         79,421
    Book value per share              $43.96         $41.14         $39.14

    Note: Please refer to The PMI Group, Inc. Third Quarter 2007 Financial
          Supplement for additional information.

SOURCE The PMI Group, Inc.



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